Democrats' midterm advantage narrows in new poll - KVOA | KVOA.com | Tucson, Arizona

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In the poll, 17 percent of voters say a candidate's views on Pelosi will be extremely important in their vote, and Republicans lead Democrats by 16 points among this group in the generic congressional ballot. "I'm choosing to invest it to fight the administration's flawed policies and to elect Democrats to the Senate and House of Representatives".

The Post-ABC poll was conducted April 8-11 among a random national sample of 1,002 adults reached on cellphones and landline telephones.

Further, among Republican likely voters, 95 percent say they would vote for their party's candidate, which is up from 89 percent in January and now matches the level among Democrats, 95 percent.

Republican members of Congress breathed a sigh of relief Monday with new polls showing GOP legislators closing the gap with liberal lawmakers; cutting the Democratic edge to five points just months before voters head to the polls. The four-point margin compares with a 12-point advantage Democrats held in January, less than a month before the February shooting in Florida. It has a margin of error of plus or minus 3.9 percentage points. As a whole, the group splits almost evenly, with 47 percent supporting Democrats and 46 percent backing Republicans. While Trump's approval rating ticked up from 36% in January, his majority disapproval rating remains historically high for a president in their second year in office.

Factors at play include a slide in self-reported registration among Democrats, which is a sign of waning engagement; consolidation among Republicans of their base; and better results for the GOP among less-educated Americans generally, and non-college-educated white women in particular.

Enthusiasm is also shifting.

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In the past two House elections, these five districts were solidly red, averaging a 22-point advantage for Republicans.

An NBC News-Wall Street Journal poll ran April 811 - exactly the exact time frame while the Post-ABC poll - found a 7-point advantage while in the generic congressional ballot for Democrats, right down from a 10-point border in March.

Democrats are facing backlash on other issues as well, especially in California, where lawmakers passed a very unpopular gas tax increase created to fix infrastructure problems. Only 28 percent back GOP ones. Other polls are more split. They are pushing for a measure to be included on the ballot that repeals the increase.

On one hand, there are more who emphasize new gun laws; on the other, those focused on protecting gun rights are more likely to say it's "extremely" important to them to back a candidate who agrees with them, 49 vs. 40 percent among registered voters. Despite this, the poll found "that neither party holds an advantage among the 42 percent of voters who say it's "extremely important" that a congressional candidate share their view on the issue".

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